America's Anxiety Bodes An Ill-omen For The Unity Regime
22 March 2016
By Dr Hameedullah
It appears that America – like the Soviets before them – has lost all faith in
her internal Afghan allies. America had made its timetabled withdrawal from
Afghanistan contingent upon the Kabul security forces' ability to check
They invested billions of dollars in the security apparatus of the Kabul
administration and personally took charge of training its forces. For years
American reports on the security situation of Afghanistan reflected a
conviction in ANSF's abilities. However, recently the America military
particularly the top-brass within the Pentagon has lost all faith in the ANSF.
They openly doubt the regime's ability to counter the insurgency and
speculations are spreading regarding the imminent collapse of the Kabul
Speaking at a Senate hearing last week the Australian Chief of the Defence
Force, Air Chief Marshal Mark Binskin, said there had been unexpected
developments in Afghanistan that had put local forces under increased
pressure. This same person – speaking at an Afghan press conference –
reiterated his concerns regarding the deteriorating situation of Afghanistan
and doubted the ANSF's ability to defeat the Taliban.
He added that Oruzgan province – which was managed by the Australians for
eight years – was largely under insurgent influence and that the Taliban had
the freedom to move about in those areas at will.
Similarly the U.S. National Intelligence Director James Clapper told a Senate
committee last week that the Kabul ‘government' faces persistent hurdles to
political stability, including eroding political cohesion, assertions of
authority by local powerbrokers, financial shortfalls and countrywide
sustained attacks by the Taliban. He also warned that Afghanistan was at a
‘serious risk of a political breakdown during 2016'.
Both Clapper and John Campbell – the outgoing US commander in Afghanistan –
expressed skepticism regarding Afghan reconciliation. Clapper also suggested
that after initial infighting over leadership succession, the Taliban had
again become a unified force under its new leader Mullah Akhtar Muhammad
The U.S.'s ever changing policies and contradictory statements regarding
Afghanistan betray their anxiety concerning the Kabul regime's ability to hold
its own. The U.S. military's current attempts to prolong their presence in
Afghanistan also reveal their lack of faith in the Unity regime.
The Kabul regime has consistently downplayed statements of U.S. officials
regarding their failures because they are oblivious to the gravity of the
situation they are facing and their looming collapse.
The Americans on the other hand fully grasp the gravity of the security
situation in Afghanistan and perhaps also understand that success in
Afghanistan is a forlorn hope. Yet they insist on further bloodshed simply
because they do not want to have another Vietnam in their annals. What they
fail to understand is that their defeat in Afghanistan is many more folds in
comparison to Vietnam. In Vietnam they simply lost the South while in
Afghanistan they lost their hyper-power status and were relegated to a