Republican Bigwigs Oppose Donald Trump
24 March 2016
By Saeed Qureshi
Lately it appears that Trump support within the Republican Party (GOP) is
waning. Mitt Romney and Johan McCain have come out in the open to denounce him
as incompetent and unsuitable to become the president of the United States.
Mitt Romeny assails him as being dangerous for the democracy.
It looks the Republican Party and Donald Trump are not on the same page and
this divergence may not be favorable to Trump in winning the nomination from
the Republican Party. The Republican Party seems to be afflicted with internal
dissentions and reservations about Trump's nomination.
Lately the money has started pouring in to support the other two Republican
competitors of Trump, namely Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio by way of massive media
advertisements. In the latest state elections Ted won in two states of Main
and Kansas equaling Trump's victories in Louisiana and Kentucky. The situation
would further clear up in the coming debates and further elections in the
remaining majority states and caucuses.
The Senior Republican leadership, on the whole, didn't express much of support
to Donald Trump. It is obvious that the Republican stalwarts are joining hands
to checkmate and derail the Trump's resounding march in capturing more states
and enhancing his super delegates count.
Presently Hillary Clinton the lead democratic contender is on top with 1130
delegates. She needs 2382 to be become eligible for nomination. Bernie Sanders
is lagging behind her with 499 delegates. On the Republican front Trump has
bagged 384 delegates and he needs altogether 1237 to be the winner for the
nomination. Tend Cruz who has emerged all of sudden from behind has 300
delegates so far.
Donald Trump is an interesting yet a perplexing phenomenon on the American
political turf. Despite his queer outbursts his acceptance and popularity has
been ballooning by the day. His rhetoric is weird but being accepted by a
sizable majority as evidenced by his stunning victories in state and primary
elections. His Anti Muslim rhetoric is most appealing to the conservative
sections of the society on religious and racial grounds.
He looks like a roller coaster advancing ferociously on the political turf
unmindful of his commitments and slogans which he might not be able to
translate into their actual application. His fiery pronouncements cut across
the fabric of pluralism and the cultural diversity that is the hallmark of the
American society. He hardly cares and the more he emphasizes his
anti-immigration, anti Muslim stance and repealing the Obama administration
reforms, the more goes up his popularity graph.
He spoke against the Latino population yet a chunk of his supporters come from
this migrant community. Seemingly he doesn't hold a much benign opinion about
the black communities. However, the black or Afro - Americans too voluminously
The current total population of USA is 308 million, the whites including the
Hispanic or Latinos is around 77 %( 62 % actual whites). Black 12 %, Asians
4.7 %, native Indians 1.3 % and other races are around 9 %.
The 82 per cent eligible voters will be divided between Hillary Clinton and
Donald Trump in case both reach the pinnacle. Even if the migrants don't vote
for Donald for obvious reasons, it is not going to affect the vote bank of
either candidate in a big way, However the Latinos and black votes can make a
difference for both the prospective presidential candidates.
The presence of the large chanting crowds in the election rallies look
impressive but only up to the extent of getting the nomination of their
respective parties. However, the final contest for presidency will make all
the difference. Let us suppose that the white votes are equally divided
between Hillary and Trump.
It is in this scenario that the black and Asian and other races would matter
whose number is between 22 to 25 per cent. If more white population votes for
Trump he may win even if a small percentage votes of the minorities votes are
cast in his favor. But if white votes are equally poised and minority votes
tilt towards Hillary she may win. It can be surmised that minority votes will
go more in favor of Hillary than trump.
From now until November 8(the election day) this year there would be many
turns and twists for both the candidates. While Hillary's nomination from her
party is taken for granted, Trump has to still face his rivals (Ted Cruz and
Marco Rubio)) for his final choice as the Republican candidate.
It should be kept in mind that the election of the President and Vice
President of the United States is an indirect vote in which citizens cast
ballots for a slate of members of the U.S. Electoral College. These electors
cast direct votes for the President and Vice President. If both votes result
in an absolute majority, the election is complete.
The writer is a senior journalist, former editor of Diplomatic Times and a
former diplomat. This and other articles by the
writer can also be read at his blog www.uprightopinion.com.