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14 October 2010 By
Jonathan Cook A ghost haunted the meeting of
the Arab League
in Libya at the weekend, as its
foreign ministers
decided to give a little more time to the peace talks between
Israel and the Palestinians. That ghost was the
Camp David talks
of summer 2000, when US
President Bill Clinton publicly held
Yasser Arafat, the then-Palestinian
leader, responsible for the breakdown of the negotiations, despite an earlier
promise to blame neither side if they failed. Mr Clinton's finger-pointing
breathed life into the accusation from
Ehud Barak,
Israel's prime minister, that there was "no Palestinian partner for
peace"; brought about the collapse of the
Israeli peace movement, and ultimately
sanctioned the decision of Mr Barak's successor,
Ariel Sharon, to invade the
Palestinian-controlled areas of the West Bank. A decade later, the Arab League
ministers did not want to expose
Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian president,
to a similar charge from
Barack Obama. They therefore played the safest
hand possible: they offered
Washington another month's breathing
space to persuade Israel to renew a freeze on settlement building, while also
supporting Mr Abbas's decision to break off direct talks until the freeze was
back in place. The decision's dual purpose was
to throw the spotlight squarely back on Israel as the recalcitrant party, and
allow the White House
to continue to pretend the talks are still on track. The League's new deadline was
chosen precisely to appease Washington. Mr Obama's most pressing concern is
shoring up his Democratic Party's vote at the congressional midterm elections in
early November. Neither Israel nor the Palestinians wants to
be seen walking away from the president's peace initiative before then. Instead the Palestinians and
Israelis concentrated on the blame game, thereby highlighting the fact that both
think the talks are doomed. The Camp David talks lasted two weeks before
collapsing; these negotiations have been on life support since they began more
than a month ago. "The Israeli government was given
the choice between peace and settlements, and it has chosen settlements," the
chief Palestinian negotiator,
Saeb Erekat, said last Friday.
Benjamin
Netanyahu, the
Israeli
prime minister, spun events the other way, arguing implausibly
that the Palestinians should have engaged more decisively in talks during the
10-month partial freeze on settlement growth, which expired two weeks ago. "The
questions need to be directed to the Palestinians: why are you abandoning the
talks?" Mr Netanyhau said last Thursday. Rather than investing wasted
energy in doomed talks, the two sides appear to be adopting the same alternative
strategy: cutting a deal directly with Washington that circumvents the other
party. At the weekend it was reported
that Mr Abbas had told Arab leaders he was considering asking the US president
to recognise a unilaterally declared Palestinian state in the whole of the West
Bank. Mr Erekat told Reuters another
option might be a request for a
United Nations Security Council resolution
calling on member states to "recognise the state of Palestine on the 1967
borders". In the past, Washington has
greeted such Palestinian proposals unenthusiastically. But threats by Mr Abbas
to resign if the
Israeli settlement freeze is not renewed
- leaving no obvious successor - are intended to add to the pressure on the
White House. Mr Netanyahu, meanwhile, is
reported to be working on a counter-offensive he hopes will win Washington's
approval.
Michael Oren, the Israeli ambassador to
the United States, officially confirmed to
The Washington Post last week that the
Obama administration had offered Israel a range of generous diplomatic, security
and financial "incentives" to secure a few months' extension of the partial
moratorium on settlement building. Mr Netanyahu is reported to have
turned down the offer but only, it appears, because he believes he can win a
more valuable concession. His real aim, the
Israeli
media reported last week, is to persuade the White House to
reaffirm a promise made in a 2004 letter from Mr Obama's predecessor,
George W Bush,
that Israel will not be required to withdraw to the pre-1967 borders in a peace
deal. Israeli officials understood that
to mean the Americans would approve the annexation of the main settlements to
Israel, allowing most of the half-million settlers to remain in place. The Obama
administration has until now denied the pledge was ever made. In exchange for Mr Obama's
endorsement of the promise, Mr Netanyahu might be willing to reimpose a
short-term settlement freeze, arguing to his ministers that soon it would no
longer apply to most of the settlements. Ari Shavit, a columnist with
Israel's Haaretz newspaper, argued last week
that arm-twisting the White House to honour Mr Bush's commitment was "a win-win
formula" for Mr Netanyahu. Either Washington would be
committed to Israel's key demands in the talks or "US credibility" would be
damaged. "Instead of Netanyahu being the dissenter, Obama will be the
dissenter," he wrote. Mr Netanyahu, however, is stuck
unless he can overcome opposition to a deal on a settlement freeze within his
own cabinet, led by
Avigdor Lieberman, the far-right foreign
minister. According to senior officials in
the
Labor Party, ostensibly the most dovish of Mr Netanyahu's
coalition partners, that explains the timing of his move to placate Mr Lieberman
by backing a loyalty oath for non-Jews applying for citizenship. Jonathan Cook is a writer and
journalist based in
Nazareth, Israel.
His latest books are "Israel and the Clash of Civilisations:
Iraq,
Iran
and the Plan to Remake the
Middle East"
(Pluto
Press) and "Disappearing Palestine: Israel's Experiments in Human
Despair" (Zed Books). His website is
www.jkcook.net
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