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11 November 2010 By Tariq
Alhomayed Washington Post columnist, David Ignatius, asked in
yesterday's edition of the newspaper, whether Iran was
serious about negotiating with the U.S. over the
nuclear issue, or if it was merely killing time. The
answer is, of course, that Iran is procrastinating,
and killing time, whether the subject is the nuclear
issue, or Iraq and Lebanon. Syria is also guilty of
this. Some may wonder: What is the connection here?
In his article, Ignatius refers to the proxy wars
between America and Iran in the region, which he
claimed are being waged in Lebanon and Iraq. Tehran is
pushing for political gains in these areas, through
its agents, in order to strengthen its negotiating
position. In contrast, America and its allies are
satisfied to simply provide a form of resistance,
although this is weak. The author expects the proxy
war to escalate in Beirut and Baghdad, over the coming
weeks. This is what is happening in our region, as a
result of Iran and Syria's actions. On the one hand,
they maintain that they are keen to keep the peace in
Lebanon and Iraq, yet they continue to apply pressure,
in order to achieve their own objectives. Iraq may be
the easiest model to explain this. It is widely
recognized that all the states bordering Iraq, along
with America, and most notably Iran and Syria, use one
expression when talking about the upcoming formation
of the Iraqi government. All of them say: "we support
a government of national partnership, representing all
Iraqi components". But what does this mean? For Iran
and Syria, they want a government of national
partnership because it is widely expected to be a weak
government. Thus, Tehran and Damascus are waiting for
the U.S. to withdraw from Iraq, as per the 2011
deadline, in order to take advantage of the country,
and run it from the inside, as they are doing in
Lebanon today. However, Iraq has different
characteristics to Lebanon; it has oil, and from a
political stand point is regionally influential.
Therefore Iran will keep Iraq in its pocket like
someone holds a credit card. Then Tehran will use this
Iraqi credit card to pay the bills of its political
maneuvers, to negotiate with America for example, and
to finance its agents in Baghdad, Lebanon, and Gaza.
All of its demands will be addressed to Tehran, whilst
its billing address will be Baghdad. Meanwhile, we find that the rest of the countries
neighboring Iraq, as well as America, are tactically
targeting Iran. They hope that the next Iraqi
government will be able to reduce Iranian influence in
Iraq, albeit temporarily, and this is what Ignatius
has termed as ‘weak' resistance. In order to prove that Tehran and Damascus are
playing a game to kill time, we must consider two
remarkable statements. Firstly, the Iranian Foreign
Minister, in response to statements issued in
Washington suggesting that America could resort to a
military option, in order to prevent Iran from
pursuing nuclear weapons, said: "it's a joke, America
is currently preoccupied with the chaos caused by the
mid-term elections". Iran has manipulated the timing,
and circumstances, well in Washington. Meanwhile, in Damascus, the Syrian President,
during a meeting yesterday with Democrat Congressman
[John] Kerry, praised "President Obama's desire to
achieve peace in the region". [This statement is
remarkable], considering that Kerry had said hours
earlier that no-one could disable the Hariri tribunal,
and not to mention the recent escalation of U.S.
pressure on Syria! Thus we can be sure that the game being played in
our region is a game to kill time, and procrastinate,
as long as there are no real solutions on the table.
Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq Al-Awsat, the youngest
person to be appointed that position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also completed his Introductory
courses towards a Master's degree from George Washington University in
Washington D.C. He is based in London. |