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19 January 2011 By Dr. Hamad Al-Majid It may be pure speculation to link the violent
demonstrations that erupted in Tunisia, to the
subsequent protests in Algeria. However, what is
certain is that the U.S. and western countries bear
part of the responsibility for the economic and
political deterioration in a number of Arab countries,
and especially those which have begun to suffer from
civil unrest. The U.S. and western countries, which have
influence over a number of Arab states, would have
breathed a sigh of relief after they targeted Islamic
trends, and denied such movements from coming to power
in both Palestine and Algeria, regardless of election
results. The U.S. was happy to [keep the existing
governments in power] and apply the famous western
proverb: "Better the devil you know than the devil you
don't know". Yet the U.S. has failed to domesticate
these ‘devils', and transform them into reasonable,
accountable governments. After the U.S. managed to
quell the threat of the Islamic trends, it was faced
with the consequences of rising popular resentment
towards the governments it had supported. It is strange that the U.S. and its allies do not
realize that Islamic trends are the primary
beneficiaries of the corrupt practices of some of
these governments. The Islamists' popularity feeds on
the failures of the national government, its political
and economic corruption, and the iron fist with which
it grips the nation. In situations such as these,
people search for a saviour, regardless of their
slogan, and few slogans are as attractive as the
Islamic ones. If you were to tour the Arab states, you
would find that when a government focuses its
attention on its people, uses the country's resources
accordingly, and loosens its security grip, this
government is the most stable and popular. As a
result, the Islamists will be less popular in that
country, or more precisely, they will pose no danger
to the government. Take Kuwait and Oman as two clear
examples. The Islamists in Kuwait, even if they are
noisy, and a constant headache for state officials,
they do not pose any real threat to the government. In
the Palestinian case, on the contrary, the U.S. was
satisfied with the weak Palestinian Authority
government, and thus remained silent on the subject of
its blatant transgressions, and endorsed the proposal
to override the election results. As a result, the
Palestinian Authority remains in power with a lack of
public support. Meanwhile, the Islamic opposition, led
by Hamas, poses a real threat to the US, as well as
Israel. Some governments adopt an oppressive style to
‘tame' their populace, and although this may provide
quick results and short-term stability, the end result
is that severe pressure accumulates, and will
ultimately explode at some time. This is what we have
observed recently in a number of Arab countries. They
have begun to crack under the pressure of angry public
demonstrations, and the Islamists are the main
beneficiaries in the end. Some of these Arab governments were relieved when
the U.S. and its allies targeted Islamic trends, and
prevented them from reaching power, as in Algeria and
Palestine. These governments were aware that no matter
how much corruption spread, and no matter how much
they tightened their security grip over their
population, even if the U.S. opposed their conduct, it
would accept them as the 'devil it knows', rather than
the Islamic devil it 'does not know'. Thus, some Arab
governments are committing a grave mistake [in relying
upon unconditional U.S. support], as a public uprising
represents a danger which neither the U.S., nor any
other power, can do anything to prevent. This is
exactly what happened in the case of Iran, at the time
of U.S. cooperation with its powerful ally the Shah –
America's policeman in the region. In the end, the
Shah's considerable power in the region was
meaningless in the face of public uprising. Thus the
U.S. did not only disappoint its faithful ally, but it
also later refused to receive him, when he was
diagnosed with cancer. |