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13 Jan 2012 By Tariq Alhomayed The appearance of Bashar al-Assad in Damascus
amongst some of his supporters was a lot like Muammar
Gaddafi appearing in Bab al-Aziziyah, or Green Square,
to show that he is still the leader, and is still
popular. However that is not the truth at all, firstly
in the case of Gaddafi, which was proven over the days
and events that followed, and now the same applies to
al-Assad. After al-Assad's speech, in which he appeared to be
begging and detached from reality, he emerged a day
later among the crowds to prove his courage and
leadership, but reality dictates that he came out
because of his fear. His appearance only confirmed
that he is no longer the President of Syria, but
rather merely a man who has his followers. Here some
may say: How come? The emergence of al-Assad in
Umayyad Square - the day after his 99 minute-long
speech - was an indication that al-Assad is the leader
of a specific group, and not the President of Syria,
and in turn he is contributing to isolating himself
more and more. It is suffice to consider the pictures
of his lengthy, boring speech at Damascus University,
which did not show the attendance of any officials
from his government, particularly the well-known
faces, just as the images did not show anyone wearing
military uniforms, such as high ranking officials.
This is not to mention the fact that a panoramic view
of the Umayyad Square rally shows that most of the
audience there were security men, and that was
apparent from their features and physique, and it was
suffice to consider the amount of security personnel
surrounding al-Assad's wife at the time. In al-Assad's previous three speeches, and even in
his latest interview with the US television network
ABC, he spoke as the leader of the Syrians, although
it was not convincing of course. However, the Umayyad
Square scene was different, where he assured his
followers that victory was near, he pledged to fight a
broad spectrum of Syrian society, and he vowed victory
over the Arabs and the West. He seemed as if he was
talking from the position of Hassan Nasrallah rather
than the President of Syria, and there is a big
difference! Of course, the question now is: When will al-Assad
fall, or how? The answer to this question was summed
up recently by the dissident Syrian Brigadier General
Mustafa Ahmed al-Sheikh, who said that "large
divisions, at the level of entire sectors, only happen
when there is an open horizon and an officer or
soldier feels that there is an international
resolution to overthrow the regime". He adds that "so
far there has been no international resolution to
overthrow the regime. That is why we have not seen
high ranking officers or officials from important
civilian posts defecting. However, if there was a
buffer zone in place, most of the army would defect
and the regime would fall faster". This is what
happened in the case of Libya, and the intention here
is not to call for extensive NATO military
participation, but what is required is an
international resolution to de-legitimize the al-Assad
regime. The first step towards doing so is to issue a
UN resolution to provide buffer and no-fly zones, and
then the divisions will grow within the Syrian army,
especially as the number of dissidents so far,
according to Brigadier General al-Sheikh, has reached
20,000. As soon as a buffer zone is in place,
according to al-Sheikh, then senior officials will
start to defect, which would in turn quickly bring
down the regime. This is what must be done now, since all other
solutions have become ineffective, no matter what some
have tried to say otherwise. Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq
Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that
position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also
completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's
degree from George Washington University in Washington
D.C. He is based in London. |