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28 Feb 2012 By Hamad Al-Majid Whether you are a supporter of the Arab revolutions
or not, most people agree that security stability was
a prominent accomplishment of the former despotic and
tyrannical regimes. This is in comparison to the
fragile security situation now evident in the "Arab
Spring" states (Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Yemen and
Syria), albeit to varying levels. Certainly, I do not want to come to the conclusion
that despotism, with all its implications, atrocities
and calamities, is the lesser of two evils. In my
previous articles, I have stressed that it is natural
for a country in a post-revolutionary period to
experience a state of disability, tension and
insecurity, and this may be long or short, as was the
case with the French and the Bolshevik revolutions,
and elsewhere. Yet besides this, there is also the
reality that some revolutions may slide into a civil
war that can wreak havoc upon the country. It is for
this reason that a great debate has emerged amongst
the Arab elite to the extent that, on the one extreme,
some people are lamenting the eras of Gaddafi, Ben Ali
and Mubarak - and perhaps they are sincerely concerned
about the imminent collapse of the al-Assad regime -
whereas at the other end of the spectrum, there are
people who welcome revolutions and the regime changes,
regardless of the subsequent impact. Certainly, the debate surrounding the validity of
the revolutions and whether or not they will be of any
avail to the countries in which they erupted – with
Syria being likely to experience the same situation
soon – is effectively pointless, for it is too late
for analysis, the die has been cast. The Arab states
that are yet to catch the spark of the Arab
revolutions are what's important now, at this decisive
stage, because no one can be sure that any of them
will be safe from the impact and consequences of such
events. It is striking that some countries are yet to
deal with the storm of the Arab revolutions, having
failed to foresee the dangers, and are not prepared
for them with a package of reforms. China, for
instance, is thousands of kilometers from the Arab
world and is detached from its customs, traditions,
and historical heritage, and is ruled by a firm
political, economic and military regime, but
nevertheless the Arab Spring's spark caused it to take
note. The remaining Arab states must not gamble on their
stability and rely on their grip on security, for the
security option, no matter how strong it seems, can
suddenly collapse in light of financial and
administrative corruption. It is enough here to point
out that the regimes that ruled their countries using
the most despotic means such as Tunisia, Libya and
Syria, have all collapsed in the same manner that a
huge iceberg breaks down. The Bashar al-Assad regime,
which imposed its security tyranny even upon
representatives of the Arab media, is unable these
days to control journalists or prevent them from
broadcasting live scenes to the world from central
Damascus and from areas adjacent to the Republican
Palace in al-Manzah district. It is true that any
tyrant can gamble on the security option for a limited
period of time, yet it is impossible for him to rely
on this option throughout his reign. A number of Arab states - where unrest has erupted
recently - have failed to protect their tents against
the Arab revolutionary storm that subsequently washed
out Egypt, Tunisia, Libya and Yemen, destroying the
regimes within. The same is about to happen with the
tent of Bashar al-Assad's regime, the strongest Arab
regime in terms of security control. As for the
countries that have so far been spared from the
revolutions, they must clean out the large patches of
corruption inside their own tents, and then prop up
the structure with genuine reforms as quick as
possible, for storms are well known for their sudden
and destructive effect. Dr. Hamad Al-Majid is a journalist and former
member of the official Saudi National Organization for
Human Rights. Al-Majid is a graduate of Imam Muhammad
Bin Saud Islamic University in Riyadh and holds an
M.A. from California and a Doctorate from the
University of Hull in the United Kingdom. |