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06 Feb 2012
If there is any realization regarding the course of
events in Syria, it is the realization that everybody
today is preparing for the period following the ouster
of the tyrant of Damascus Bashar al-Assad. This is
clear, whether we are talking about Hamas or the
Kurds, or even certain figures in Lebanon. However the
most important recent turn of events are the
statements being issued from Iran; and it is clear
that everybody is fleeing the ship, whilst even those
who have not already done so are now making their
preparations. As for the Kurds, here we see Iraqi Kurdistan
Region President Massoud Barzani calling for the
Syrian Kurds to renounce their differences and move
away from narrow partisanship. Barzani called on the
Syrian Kurds to unify their ranks if they want to
guarantee support from the Kurdistan Region
leadership. Barzani made this call during the "Kurdish
Syrian Immigrants abroad" conference held in Erbil and
attended by all 11 parties that make-up the Syrian
Kurdish National Council. Whilst Michel Aoun and Nabih Berri have remained
silent in Lebanon…indeed, who even remembers Berri
today? As for Hamas, we have seen the Palestinian
movement's leader Khalid Mishal, accompanied by Qatari
Crown Prince [Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al Thani],
reaching Jordan following an absence of 12 years. It
seems that the Qatari Crown Prince accompanied Mishal
as a guarantor for his good behaviour over the coming
days, particularly as Mishal is now living in hotels
after he left Damascus in the wake of the anger of the
al-Assad leadership, after he announced that he was
prepared to mediate between al-Assad and the Syrian
Muslim Brotherhood. At this point I must also note
that Arab League Secretary-General Nabil Elaraby had
asked Mishal to pass on a message to al-Assad, and
this is a message that Mishal failed to deliver,
according to information revealed by this newspaper
two weeks ago; therefore Mishal is also one of those
who is fleeing the al-Assad ship. As for Iran, Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Ali
Akbar Salehi, speaking during a press conference on
the sidelines of the African Union conference in Addis
Ababa, said that the Syrians "have to have a free
election, they have to have the right constitution,
they have to allow different political parties to have
their activities freely in the country" adding "Syria
has to be given the choice of time." However this is
not the whole story, for Salehi also said – and this
is the most important part – that "if any vacuum
happens suddenly in Syria, nobody can anticipate the
outcome…the consequences could be even worse because
there may be internal wars, internal clashes between
people." This means that Salehi expects the end of the
tyrant of Damascus, for he is speaking about this
frankly, and this means that Tehran is preparing for
the worst, in the same manner as Hamas, the Kurds, and
others in Lebanon! The importance of Salehi's statements lies in the
fact that he is one of the most familiar with what is
truly going on in Syria, and he is no doubt aware that
the battles that occurred on Sunday between the
tyrant's armed forces and the Free Syrian Army [FSA]
took place just 8 km from the presidential palace in
Damascus, and therefore the sound of the battle could
be clearly heard in Bashar al-Assad's palace. This is
why Salehi has begun to talk frankly about a "vacuum
happen[ing] suddenly in Syria". It is therefore clear that everybody is preparing
for the post-Assad period, particularly his allies.
Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq
Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that
position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also
completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's
degree from George Washington University in Washington
D.C. He is based in London. |