Has The Brotherhood Bitten Off More
Than It Can Chew?
05 April 2012
By Dr. Hamad Al-Majid
The Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood believed it would
be shrewd to nominate its clever and powerful symbol
Khairat al-Shatar, who has become one of the
Brotherhood's most prominent figures since his
detention during the reign of President Gamal Abdel-Nasser.
Al-Shatar ranks among the most respected of the
Brotherhood cadres, in terms of managing his
commercial exhibitions as well as his political
opposition. It is for this reason that the Brotherhood
has nominated him as its first ever presidential
candidate since the movement was established by its
founder Hassan al-Banna. Since Khairat al-Shatar has
been imprisoned several times, most recently during
the Mubarak era, the Brotherhood has run a propaganda
campaign along the lines of "the Yusuf of our era has
come out of prison to govern Egypt." Historically
speaking, it is known that prophet Yusuf, peace be
upon him, did not leave jail and rule Egypt, but
rather he became a minister. Even if the Brotherhood
consider "the Yusuf of our era" to be a pious and
knowledgeable icon, thanks to his economic experience
and commercial skills, then it would have been wiser
to appoint him as a financial treasurer, rather than
place him in a political domain that may explode at
any moment.
The real shrewd move was the Brotherhood's initial
decision not to put forward a presidential candidate,
rather than its retreat from this decision and its
nomination of al-Shatar. The Brotherhood's original
decision took everyone by surprise, for it showed
political maturity and awareness of this [politically]
complex stage. This is because, at this particular
time, international and regional powers – alongside
the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces [SCAF] – will
find it very difficult to contain or tolerate absolute
"Muslim Brotherhood domination" over the legislative
and presidential authorities in the largest Arab
state; a state long seen as a source of political and
ideological influence.
Failing to curb its political "desires", or content
itself with the parliament as a political spoil, the
Brotherhood's Shura Council held prolonged meetings on
Saturday that resulted in this decision [the
nomination of al-Shatar], with many observers
pessimistic about its future impact. It is striking
that the Tunisian Ennahda Movement, which is less
influential and less experienced, was more politically
mature than the mother Brotherhood movement; although
this defies the logic of experience and history.
The Muslim Brotherhood had earlier failed to curb
its political fancy when it chastised Abdel Moneim
Aboul Fotouh, one of the movement's most prominent and
charismatic symbols, by dismissing him from the group
after he decided to run for president, an acceptable
measure according to the customs of political parties.
Yet it is surprising that the Brotherhood first
disagreed with Aboul Fotouh but then repeated his
"mistake" by nominating al-Shatar. My friend Dr. Saad
Attiya Al-Ghamdi summed up the matter by commenting –
via Twitter – that "it would have been wiser if the
Brotherhood had accepted the nomination of Aboul
Fotouh without directly involving themselves in the
issue of the presidency. If he won [the presidential
election], then he would be their loyal son, whilst if
he didn't, they could say they had dismissed him".
So, it is clear that the Brotherhood, by nominating
al-Shatar, has placed itself in a real political
quagmire. Aboul Fotouh has a large Egyptian fan-base
who will champion his nomination, and even a broad
category of the Muslim Brotherhood's youths are
advocating him to the extent that some have defected
from the movement because it denied his candidacy. In
light of the current situation, the logical result is
that votes will be divided between two strong
candidates who share similar chances of winning, in
addition to other votes being squandered on the
Islamist [Salafist] candidate Hazem Salah Abu Ismail,
who will take a sizeable share.
To summarize, if you scrutinize the Brotherhood's
decision to nominate al-Shatar, you will discover that
the movement seems to be lacking political maturity,
nor does it have an accomplished view of
international, regional, or local political
complexities. Indeed, the Brotherhood could have
"enjoyed" the delicious "parliamentary" slice of the
cake, but instead it has become greedy and now seeks
the larger "presidential" slice of the cake as well.
In short, the Brotherhood may have bitten off more
than it can chew.
Dr. Hamad Al-Majid is a journalist and former
member of the official Saudi National Organization for
Human Rights. Al-Majid is a graduate of Imam Muhammad
Bin Saud Islamic University in Riyadh and holds an
M.A. from California and a Doctorate from the
University of Hull in the United Kingdom.