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19 May 2012 By Osman
Mirghani If there were no
democracies in Europe, it would be witnessing
revolutions like those that erupted in the Arab world
today, or perhaps even fiercer ones. The political
earthquakes that Europe is going through these days,
as seen in the results of recent elections conducted
in several countries, or in the social phenomena
produced by the economic crisis, are all expressive of
a movement of serious objection to what many people
see as the failure of the political elite, the greed
of banks and the corruption of economic policies. The
voters have spoken and have punished the ruling
political parties for the economic crisis and
subsequent suffering, declaring their rejection of the
financial austerity measures that governments have
adopted to defuse the debt and banking crisis. Such
measures have produced millions of jobless youths and
a generation of people who have lost hope, and have
caused families to be unable to meet their daily
living requirements or pay the bills of modern life.
The figures and
statistics are frightening and threaten more crises
and unrest to come. The youth unemployment rate in
Spain stands at 46 percent, whilst it is 43 percent in
Greece, 32 percent in Ireland, 28 percent in Italy, 27
percent in Portugal, 24 percent in France and 21
percent in Britain. Germany and Austria are an
exception, where unemployment rates among young people
(under 25) stands at 9 percent. As for outside Europe,
in the US youth unemployment stands at 18 percent,
whilst in the Arab world it has reached 30 percent,
although this figure differs greatly from one country
to another. The youth unemployment rate in the Arab
world is one of the highest in the world, especially
considering the fact that 50 percent of the Arab
population is under 24 years old; this represents the
world's second-highest unemployment rate after
Sub-Saharan Africa. The crisis of this lost
generation, internationally, has prompted numerous
experts and specialists to forewarn that the impact
will last for decades and will not be limited to young
people. Rather, it will affect all societies, and may
also be a cause for social unrest as well as the
emergence of extremist currents. If it is true that the
Arab world has witnessed revolutions - with youths at
the forefront – because of political and economic
factors, the West has also seen a rise in protest
movements, as reflected in the emergence of the
"Occupy Wall Street" movement that extended to over 70
countries across the world, indicating the rising
anger towards the political and economic elite and the
growing frustration over the futile solutions to solve
the international financial and economic crisis. In
these movements, protestors raised slogans that read
"We are the 99%"; in reference to the fact that just 1
percent of the world's population control 44 percent
of global wealth, while poverty and unemployment rates
have soared, even in developed countries. The results of the
recent European elections are a continuation of the
international protests that have toppled governments
and will certainly continue to destabilize others. As
in Tunisia, European politicians rushed to say to
their angry people: "We have heard and we have
understood", but they did not have to flee along the
lines of Ben Ali; they came via the ballot box and
they will leave in the same manner. The newly elected
French president François Hollande, addressing his
supporters following the announcement of his election
victory, said "I have heard you. I have heard your
will for change… Thank you people of France, gathered
here, to have allowed me to be your president of the
republic." Similarly, British Prime Minister David
Cameron, following the slap in the face his party
received in the recent local elections, published an
article in The Daily Telegraph telling voters: "I get
the message, loud and clear." Other politicians have
spoken similarly whenever they sensed their people's
anger and dissatisfaction regarding the prolonged
economic crisis and the subsequent suffering.
However, this crisis
will not be overcome by simply declaring that the
message has been received. Different policies must be
enforced and a new approach must be adopted. Today,
Europe is facing a hard choice between two contrasting
theories about how to defuse the economic and
financial crisis: The first is represented by German
Chancellor Angela Merkel, and it relies on adopting
austerity measures and reining in spending to confront
budget deficits and the debt crisis. The second option
is represented by the newly elected French President
Hollande, who advocates giving priority to expenditure
on growth in order to energize the economy, increase
job opportunities and defend social welfare.
In reality, the battle
will not be confined to the largest economic powers in
Europe – Germany and France – but will have
repercussions and consequences across the world in
view of the global struggle to overcome the worst
financial and economic crisis in modern history.
Perhaps, it is for this reason that François Hollande,
in his victory speech to the French voters who took
him to the Élysée Palace, said: "You are much more
than a people who want change. You are already a
movement that is rising across all of Europe and maybe
the world." However, the German press viewed the
results in France as a comprehensive defeat for Merkel
who had backed Sarkozy - her ally in the austerity
campaign - to the extent that she refused to meet
Hollande during his electoral campaign. The scene seems grim
and complex, especially for the lost youth generation,
and solutions will by no means be easy or prompt.
Therefore, many people expect electoral revolutions to
continue in Europe and in other countries across the
world, and the search for a way out of the financial
and economic downturn, and for solutions to the
crisis-stricken capitalist system, will continue
unabated. The difference between Europe and the Arab
world is that, in Europe, democracies and elections
allow people to express their anger, influence
policies or change governments through the ballot
boxes. As for most parts of the Arab world, there is
deep resentment due to a combination of accumulated
economic and social factors, and people cannot truly
vent their feelings or entertain hope of change except
by staging uprisings and revolutions, like those
witnessed across the region in the past year. Such
uprisings are expected to reoccur, even if they have
stuttered for a while, so long as their causes remain
unsolved and there is no hope for the lost and
marginalized generations. |