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24 July 2012 By Tariq Alhomayed It seems that the Russians are now in a race
against time in Syria. Despite Russia and Syria's
denials of the Russian Ambassador to Paris' claim that
al-Assad wants to negotiate a civilized exit plan, the
same Russian Ambassador has again returned to talk
about al-Assad's exit, citing the same version as
before! Are we talking about the Russia as presented by
Sergey Lavrov and the Russian envoy to the United
Nations, or is there another school of thought within
the country that believes there is no longer any room
to protect al-Assad, especially after the gains
achieved by the Free Syrian Army (FSA)? Despite Moscow using its third veto in the UN
Security Council, thus blocking the implementation of
crucial international resolutions against al-Assad's
crimes, Alexander Orlov, the Russian Ambassador to
Paris, returned to say once again that it is "hard to
imagine" Bashar al-Assad remaining in power, believing
that his departure must be organized in a "civilized
manner", along the lines of the transitional process
in Yemen. The Ambassador, in an interview with the
French newspaper "Le Parisien", said: "Yes it is hard
to imagine he will stay (in power). I think he
understands this himself but it should be organized in
a civilized manner, as was done for example in Yemen".
Thus, either we are dealing with Russia actively
promoting different points of view, especially as the
Russian ambassador in this instance was speaking from
the capital of France, a country whose foreign
minister recently called upon the Syrian rebels to
accelerate the formation of a transitional government
in their country, and likewise Paris today is playing
an important role against the al-Assad regime, or
Russia may be confused about what is happening on the
ground in Syria, where Syrian border crossings have
fallen into the hands of the FSA, and battles in both
Damascus and Aleppo are intensifying, or the Russians
are racing against time to give al-Assad a new
opportunity. This third possibility is especially
pertinent given that the al-Assad security system
received a slap in the face with the explosion in the
national security headquarters, which claimed the
lives of some of the most important figures
responsible for spreading terror throughout Syria! All possibilities are open, but it is certain that
it is too late to arrange the departure of al-Assad in
a "civilized manner". All Russia can do today is make
al-Assad hand over power to his deputy or army
commander, and put him on a Russian plane to take him
out of the country, without preconditions or
safeguards. By doing so Moscow would allow everyone,
in Syria and beyond, to face the accomplished facts.
As for negotiating a civilized exit and so on, the
window of opportunity in this regard has long since
passed, for several reasons: Firstly, no one, inside
or outside Syria, trusts Russia or al-Assad today, and
furthermore no one cares about the fate of the tyrant
of Damascus, which is getting closer to the fate of
Gaddafi by the day. Everyone today is preparing for
the post-Assad phase, and the situation on the ground
does not give al-Assad the same strong playing cards
that he once held; the pace of defections from al-Assad's
army is increasing, and the tyrant of Damascus'
control over Syria, its capital and Aleppo, has been
truly shaken. Therefore, there is no more time for Russian
maneuvers. If Moscow wants to save what remains of its
face in the region, then it should put al-Assad on the
next plane to Russia. Moreover, it should also
consider arming the FSA, so it can turn the pages of
the final chapters of this criminal regime, and
continue making arrangements for the post-Assad phase.
Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq
Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that
position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also
completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's
degree from George Washington University in Washington
D.C. He is based in London. |