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28 August 2012 By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashid The Non-Aligned Movement summit in Tehran is a
celebration that is only of real value to the Iranian
government, which believes that it must improve its
image in front of the international community, and
most importantly in the eyes of its own citizens who
have witnessed three years of continuous damage to the
reputations of their president, their Supreme Guide
and their political forces. This is something that is
unprecedented since the 1979 Islamic revolution. It is
commonly believed that Ahmadinejad fraudulently won
the presidential elections, whilst the Iranian regime
exposed its brutal nature in its dealings with
peaceful protests, along with its dealing with regime
opponents such as Mir Hussein Mousavi. Lately, the
Iranian people have watched Tehran support the Syrian
regime whose brutality, crimes and massacres have
filled our screens. Whilst today, the government's
nuclear project is strongly hampering ordinary
citizen's ability to buy bread or fuel, even though
they ultimately will not benefit from this project.
Despite the fact that the Non-Aligned Movement has
been without value for decades, it is facing an
important window during which it can reassure the
[Iranian] citizens who are concerned about the
sanctions, the talk of war and possible strikes by the
West and Israel. The Iranian citizens have reached the point of
maturity – not to mention boredom – where they no
longer care about the issues that the regime is
raising abroad and which compromise Tehran's ability
to fund its own citizens. The Iranian government is
financing a confrontation with the West and Israel,
whilst also supporting Hezbollah and the Iraqi forces
loyal to it. Whilst today, when the government has
adopted austerity measures at home, it is lavishly
funding the al-Assad regime, which is on the verge of
collapse. There is no exaggeration or cynicism in the
news that the government has issued directives to the
official media to avoid broadcasting images of lavish
state feasts and celebrations where large quantities
of food are served, as Tehran is well aware that the
state of internal frustration with the government has
perhaps reached breaking point. Here, it is natural for one to ask: Why does the
Iranian leadership want to continue these battles?
Please note that the term "leadership" here is
obscure. In the past, the Supreme Guide represented
the final authority, whilst certain presidential
"partners" – such as former Iranian President Hashemi
Rafsanjani – decided the country's policies and worked
out the details of daily life. Today, we are aware
that the Supreme Guide remains in place; however he no
longer enjoys absolute authority. The Iranian
Revolutionary Guard Corp [IRGC] has expanded and
become a major player in the decision-making process.
President Ahmadinejad has also lost much of his power.
He has been publicly humiliated on several occasions,
and has been forced to appoint some ministers he did
not approve of, whilst also being prevented from
appointing some of his own supporters to ministerial
positions. Despite Ahmadinejad's numerous threats, and
even after he temporarily stopped taking part in
government decision-making, the situation has remained
the same. The question that must be asked here is: Why do
these figures — the Supreme Guide, the president and
the IRGC officers – want to take the path of
confrontation with the international community? Why
does Iran continue to carry out costly regional
projects in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Sudan, Yemen and
Afghanistan? What do the Iranians want from such
projects which only serve to empty the country's
coffers and place it in a state of confrontation with
stronger states? Even if we believed in the hypothesis
that Iran's military nuclear project – despite its
cost – represented an insurance policy for the regime
against any future threats, why is Tehran pursuing
confrontation with other countries in the region? The only justification is that we are faced with a
form of "old school" leadership, which believes in
clash of cultures and regimes, despite the fact that
the end of the Cold War has proven the fallacy of such
theories. Competition today is economic, scientific
and cultural. As for military confrontation, this will
only benefit arms dealers. Everything that the
Americans and Russians fought for over the past 40
years seems absurd today. Countries such as Vietnam,
Cuba, China, the United States and Russia now enjoy
comprehensive and peaceful relations. However in
Tehran, just as in some Arab states, there are leaders
who still live according to the old realities, holding
fast to conspiracy theories and the belief that
military and security gains constitute the ultimate
victory. However a country like South Korea can
threaten major markets thanks to its technology,
making far greater gains than North Korea – which like
Iran – is spending all of its revenue on military
projects and failed policies. If the Iranian leadership had given up its
political and military ambitions, they might have
built the strongest country in the region. They might
also have been able to impose their regional presence
without paying a single dollar to Hezbollah, al-Assad
or the Huthi rebels in Yemen. No doubt the Iranians
will one day come to this realization, but perhaps
after it is too late, as occurred to Saddam Hussein in
Iraq, and as is happening to al-Assad today.
Al Rashed is the general manager of Al -Arabiya
television. He is also the former editor-in-chief of
Asharq Al- Awsat, and the leading Arabic weekly
magazine, Al Majalla. He is also a senior Columnist in
the daily newspapers of Al Madina and Al Bilad. He is
a US post-graduate degree in mass communications. He
has been a guest on many TV current affairs programs.
He is currently based in Dubai. |