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10 August 2012 By Tariq Alhomayed The phrase "post-Assad Syria" has become widespread
today, especially with the bulk of influential Western
countries mobilizing, along with, we assume, the Arab
states, in order to focus on the phase after the fall,
or departure, of Bashar al-Assad. However, there is
another matter that the countries of the region
specifically should start thinking about, if they are
not already doing so, namely: post-Assad Iran! Thoughts must now be centered on how Iran will act
without its ally and agent al-Assad, who facilitated
its movement into important and vital areas in our
region, from Iraq to Lebanon, from Jordan to Gaza, and
from Egypt to the Gulf and likewise Yemen. Both
Khomeinist Iran and Syria under the al-Assad regime
took part in fostering and strengthening all kinds of
terrorist monsters in our region, from all directions.
Now, how will Iran act without its terrorist lung in
the region, the al-Assad regime, and how will it
manage to loosen the blockade forming today around
Hassan Nasrallah, whose weapons could be turned to
scrap in the southern suburbs of Beirut after the fall
of al-Assad? How will Iran be able to fulfill its
project in Iraq, after we see a unanimous snub from
all its Arab neighbors, even Turkey, towards this
sectarian regime that only plays into the hands of
Tehran? How will Iran deal with the new regime in Syria
that rejects subservience to Tehran, and considers it
today as Syria's number one enemy, not for sectarian
reasons, but because Khomeinist Iran supports the
criminal al-Assad regime in spite of all the killing
and torture it has committed against the Syrians.
These are not merely predictions, for the day before
yesterday, Free Syrian Army (FSA) commander Lieutenant
Colonel Khalid al-Hamud told Asharq al-Awsat that "any
Iranian is now banned from entering Syria. We will cut
down their feet under whatever name they enter with,
either as fighters or pilgrims". Hence the focus is now on post-Assad Syria but our
region must not lose sight, specifically the
influential countries, as well as Turkey, of post-Assad
Iran. The coming phase will have many consequences for
our region in terms of security, politics and
economics, and Iran will likely transform into a state
of madness. How could it not, given Tehran's reaction
as it currently tastes the bitterness of the al-Assad
regime teetering on the brink in Syria? Here we find
Iran forced to resort to both Turkey and Qatar,
pleading for them to intervene for the release of
Iranians detained by the FSA in Damascus! What also
requires serious consideration within the context of
post-Assad Iran is what happened recently on the
Israeli-Egyptian border in Sinai, which cannot in any
way be separated from what is happening in Syria,
especially with the threats of several Iranian
officials to the Arabs and Israel, and likewise the
West, that the fall of al-Assad would mean the burning
of the entire region, along with Israel. Therefore, there is a need for all in our region to
prepare for post-Assad Iran. The fall of al-Assad for
Iran would be like a thunderous political earthquake,
felt by the Mullahs under their feet in Tehran, and
likewise by Hassan Nasrallah in the suburbs of Beirut. Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's degree from George Washington University in Washington D.C. He is based in London. |