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15 November 2012 By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed Perhaps al-Assad will fall whilst the weak internal
opposition is still preoccupied with their differences
in leadership councils. He may fall after the rebels
have seized power on the ground, or after the
opposition abroad, in their different factions, have
partitioned their county's liberated soil. Following the meeting in Amman, the Doha conference
has papered over some of the cracks but the major
internal opposition councils continue to experience
fierce quarrels, and time is running out in Syria as
dangers prevail. Riad Seif, a dissident figure who is highly
respected by the majority of the Syrian opposition,
recently presented a political project that provides a
clear framework outlining the mechanism with which the
opposition, in general, should operate, regardless of
where they are based or the adverse pressures mounted
from abroad. However, this initiative will be of no
value unless all parties make concessions in order to
operate under one framework that serves as an
alternative regime. In the beginning, the Syrian National Council led
the opposition based abroad, yet it failed to contain
multiple Syrian powers. Now it has become a
semi-closed club, and other meetings and councils have
emerged in Istanbul and elsewhere. For an observer
looking on from afar, it seems that the current days
will shape Syria's future: if everyone agrees, then
Syria will remain united, and if disagreements
continue to prevail, Syria will be divided and the
revolution will be doomed to failure and may even
transform into a civil war. So are those sitting in
air-conditioned meeting rooms aware how dangerous
their equation is to their country's future? It is not reasonable to blame major regional and
Western states for their negligence whilst the
opposition itself declines to sacrifice its interests
for the sake of the people. The general framework
being put forth by Riad Seif and Riad Hijab remains
the most comprehensive, and one that could contain all
different categories if it was agreed upon. Whilst we are attempting to understand the symptoms
of the Syrian opposition's failure, let us recall the
Iraqi opposition's conduct that failed to topple the
Saddam Hussein regime between the years of 1993
through to 2003. Despite immobilizing and besieging
the majority of Saddam's troops, imposing a no-fly
zone over two-thirds of Iraq, and the Kurds' success
in creating a liberated region in the north of the
country, Saddam continued to stand on his feet, whilst
the opposition were quarreling in hotels and
questioning and accusing the West. Why didn't the
Baghdad butcher fall? The opposition wanted others to
do its job. Of course, had the events of September
11th 2001 not happened, perhaps Saddam Hussein would
still be in power in Iraq today. We cannot compare the current state of affairs in
Syria to that of Iraq at that time. However, we can
identify common features in the opposition in both
cases: laying the blame on others, giving preference
to minor interests, even if not necessarily personal
ones, and upholding a sectarian agenda and
prioritizing this over the fate of the country, which
teeters on the edge of an abyss. Al Rashed is the
general manager of Al -Arabiya television. He is also
the former editor-in-chief of Asharq Al- Awsat, and
the leading Arabic weekly magazine, Al Majalla. He is
also a senior Columnist in the daily newspapers of Al
Madina and Al Bilad. He is a US post-graduate degree
in mass communications. He has been a guest on many TV
current affairs programs. He is currently based in
Dubai. |