Iran Nuclear Deal Not A Game Changer For US-Israeli Relations
02 January 2014
By Munira Fakhro
While we are witnessing a development in the way the
US has been addressing Israel, it is unlikely things
will change in the long-term between these two
important allies.
There has indeed been a growing trend opposition to
Tel Aviv in Washington, one highlighted by US
Secretary of State John Kerry's comments during his
recent visit to Israel, when he said that Israeli
settlements on Palestinian land were illegal.
Moreover, we have seen how the Israeli Prime Minister,
Benjamin Netanyahu, has desperately sought to dissuade
the US administration from adopting its current stance
towards the Iran nuclear talks, which, in my opinion,
represents a highly significant shift in US foreign
policy.
What will help make this détente between the US and
Iran work is the presence of large groups of
university professors of Iranian descent at US-based
Middle Eastern Studies institutes. These researchers
are working hard to resolve the dispute between the US
and Iran. It is similar to what we need with Arab
researchers at US universities and think tanks. I
recall the head of one such institute in New York once
telling me that were there Arab researchers at these
centers, Arab issues might be viewed in a completely
different light. Compared to their Iranian
counterparts, Arab researchers at US universities
account for a tiny proportion, he said, and their
numbers must be boosted.
I do not think the US decision to open up to Iran was
a hasty one; rather, it was part of a well-conceived
master plan. The global political situation completely
changed during the 35-year thaw in relations: the
Soviet Union has vanished and has been replaced by a
rich and powerful Russia, the EU has emerged as a
powerful bloc, China has established itself as the
next economic giant and, most importantly, the
generation that staged the revolution in Iran has
disappeared and has been replaced by an entirely new
one.
This new generation aspires to modernism, and it
communicates online with its counterparts in the US
and Europe. What's more, the new generation is
communicating with millions of Iranians who left Iran
after the Islamic Revolution, and so they know exactly
how their lives will change if Iran repairs its ties
with the West. Iran now has an urgent need to open up
to the West.
Equally, President Barack Obama, a Nobel peace prize
laureate, does not want to start a new war at a time
when his country is in a critical economic situation.
Neither does he want to exhaust US treasury funds on a
war with an uncertain outcome. Obama is constantly
working to overcome the financial crisis he inherited
from his predecessors, and the end is now finally in
sight.
Despite Israel's opposition, Washington will insist on
its stance regarding rapprochement with Iran because
it serves the US national interest. And so the US will
at last bring this more than three-decade-long
‘Iranian file' to a close.
But despite this disagreement ties between the US and
Israel will remain strong. The Jewish lobby in the US
and the influence of the American Israel Public
Affairs Committee (AIPAC), a pro-Israel lobby that is
among the most powerful of the pressure groups in
Washington, is far too strong for that to change.