Premises Of Trump's Foreign Policy Orientation And Future Of International Order – A Study In Trumpism!
01 January 2017
By Dr. Abdul Ruff Colachal
Today's international order is being decided almost entirely by US super power
– at least by and large.
In fact, international order since the World War II, though launched b y
Germany, is being controlled and regulated by USA while Europe and bulk of
Asian nations lend support for this arrangement made after the WW-II.
Needless to say that veto power USA enjoys has been major reason for American
prowess, though there are four more states that enjoy the super status, viz
UK, France, Russia and China. Awkwardly, USA has misused the veto in order to
shield the crimes perpetuated by Israeli regime that follows fascist ideology
of old Nazi Germany which eventually had been attacked by Russia but soon
divided into zones by USA and Russia.
US precedent wields enormous power to control not just the USA but also entire
world. Ronald Trump who has been elected president would so from January 20
when he formally assures power in Washington as undisputed world leader.
World of Donald Trump
Since the day Donald Trump, disrupter-in-chief and disaster speculator,
announced his campaign 18 months ago, he has flouted convention at nearly
every turn – and so far, has come out ahead. To be the US president in three
weeks time, Trump has opted out of most the decades-long practice for
presidents-elect, including sitting for near-daily intelligence briefings,
raising questions about his interest in mastering complex global issues.
Trump has been elected the US president to chair the world affairs when
foreign policy everywhere begins to seem an elite dogma, rather than a
collective choice, as a reflection of national consciousness. Arrival of Trump
and victory for Brexit are seen to be negative consequence of ugly imperialism
as they have crossed the limits of conventional wisdom and would ''pull down
the pillars'' of liberal internationalism and retreat USA and EU into
isolation.
World continues since the end of WW-II to be regulated by US made intentional
order to which every big nation as well tries to adhere, making its policies a
part of US imagination.
Americans weary of outsourced jobs and continuing war are entitled to ask what
they are getting in return without being written off as isolationists. By
repudiating American exceptionalism, Trump has unintentionally invited the
country to reimagine its place in the world—to find a vision, perhaps, one
that is neither hierarchical nor conflictual. Politicians who talk up America
as a ''city upon a hill'' can appear to be content with the status quo.
Trump asks Americans to seek more immediate victories. Consider his criticism
of the war in Iraq: his signature objection is that the United States did not
''take the oil'' before getting out. For Trump, states are similar because
they compete for the same fixed pot of resources.
One needs to work in depth to ascertain the possible polices of man like Trump
who became fame with contradictory rhetoric.
Any proper analysis of foreign policy of Trump can be done only after January
20 when he assumes power at the White House as its legal custodian because
after that whatever he says and does makes sense to the analysts.
Unconventional US President
Undoubtedly, Donald Trump has defied all expectations from the very start of
his presidential campaign more than a year ago. He opposed and criticized his
own party men. His election victory was unexpected by most and still
incomprehensible to many even in USA as media had taken Hillary win against an
erratic Trump for granted. First, very few people thought he would actually
run. They thought he wouldn't climb in the polls, then he did. They said he
wouldn't win any primaries, then he did. They said he wouldn't win the
Republican nomination, then he did. Finally, they said there was no way he
could compete for, let alone win, a general election. Toss-ups were tossed
aside. One after another, Ohio, Florida and North Carolina went to Trump. Now
he's President-elect Trump.
That left unhappy and highly disappointed Mrs Clinton's blue firewall, and the
firewall was eventually breached. The Democrat's last stand largely rested on
her strength in the Midwest. Those were states that had gone Democrat for
decades, based in part on the support of black and working-class white voters.
Those working-class white people, particularly ones without college education
– men and women – deserted the party in droves. Rural voters turned out in
high numbers, as the Americans who felt overlooked by the establishment and
left behind by the coastal elite made their voices heard.
While places like Virginia and Colorado held fast, Wisconsin fell – and with
it Mrs Clinton's presidential hopes. When all is said and done, Mrs Clinton
may end up winning the popular vote on the back of strong support in places
like California and New York and closer-than-expected losses in solid-red
states like Utah. The Trump wave hit in the places it had to, however. And it
hit hard.
Trump insulted decorated many stalwarts, Ms Clinton and war veteran John
McCain. He picked a fight with Fox News and its popular presenter, Megyn
Kelly. He doubled down when asked how he once mocked the weight of a Hispanic
beauty pageant winner. He offered a half-hearted apology when the secret video
surfaced of his boasting about making unwanted sexual advances towards women.
Trump gaffed his way through the three presidential debates with clearly
lightly practiced performances. None of it mattered. While he took dips in the
polls following some of the more outrageous incidents, his approval was like a
cork – eventually bouncing back to the surface. Perhaps the various
controversies came so hard and fast that none had time to draw blood. Maybe
Trump's personality and appeal was so strong, the scandals just bounced off.
Whatever the reason, he was bulletproof. He ran against the Democrats. He also
ran against the powers within his own party. He beat them all and emerged
victorious.
Trump built a throne of skulls out of his Republican primary opponents. Some,
like Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Chris Christie and Ben Carson, eventually bent
knee. The holdouts, like Jeb Bush and Ohio Governor John Kasich, are now on
the outside of their party looking in.
Trump didn't need the help of anybody – and, in fact, may have won because he
was willing to take a stand against them. Trump's pox-on-them-all attitude is
likely to have proved his independence and outsider status at a time when much
of the American public reviled Washington (although not enough to keep them
from re-electing most congressional incumbents running for re-election). It
was a mood some other national politicians sensed – Democrat Bernie Sanders,
for instance, as well as Cruz. No one, however, captured it more than Trump,
and it won him the White House.
The polls clearly did a woeful job predicting the shape and preferences of the
electorate, particularly in Midwestern states. In the final days of the
campaign, however, the reality is that the polls were close enough that Trump
had a pathway to victory. That pathway didn't look nearly as obvious about two
weeks ago, before FBI director James Comey released his letter announcing that
they were reopening their investigation into Hillary Clinton's private email
server.
True, the polls were tightening a bit, but Trump's sharpest rise in the
standings came in the weeks between that first letter and Comey's second, in
which he said he had put the investigation back on the shelf. It seems likely
that during that period, Trump was able to successfully consolidate his base,
bringing wayward conservatives back into the fold and shredding Mrs Clinton's
hopes of offering a compelling closing message to US voters.
Of course, Comey's actions never would have been a factor if Mrs Clinton had
decided to rely on State Department email servers for her work correspondence.
That one is on her shoulders.
Trump ran the most unconventional of political campaigns, but it turned out he
knew better than all the experts. He spent more on hats than on pollsters. He
travelled to states like Wisconsin and Michigan that pundits said were out of
reach. He held massive rallies instead of focusing on door-knocking and
get-out-the-vote operations. He had a disjointed, sometimes chaotic national
political convention that was capped by an acceptance speech that was more
doom-and-gloom than any in modern US political history. He was vastly outspent
by the Clinton campaign, just as he was during the Republican primaries. He
turned consensus wisdom about how to win the presidency on its head.
All of these decisions – and many more – were roundly ridiculed in
''knowledgeable'' circles. In the end, however, they worked. Mr Trump and his
closest confidants – his children and a few chosen advisers – will have the
last laugh. And they'll do it from the White House.
Meanwhile, President Barack Obama says he could have won against Donald Trump
— an unprofessional, undignified war of words against Trump that almost
borders on insecure immaturity. Why did Obama feel it was necessary to say
that? What is/was he trying to prove?
Team installation
Even for a failed gambling czar, Donald Trump has been surprisingly quick to
show his hand as he sets the course of his forthcoming presidency. With a
reactionary fervor, he is bursting backwards into the future. Trump has picked
people as his core team he always orbited: wealthy, white, male-dominated and
business-minded, against what he called ''politically correct crap'' during
his no-holds-barred presidential campaign. The current Cabinet nominated by
Trump is being touted as the wealthiest administration ever. The 17 people
picked for the Cabinet happen to have combined wealth of over $9.5 billion.
The collection of wealth is ''greater than that of the 43 million least
wealthy American households combined—over one third of the 126 million
households total in the USA.
Trump has accomplished this feat through the first wave of nominations to his
Cabinet and White House staff. His bizarre selection of men and women
marinated either in corporatism or militarism, with strains of racism, class
cruelty and ideological rigidity. Many of Trump's nominees lack an
appreciation of the awesome responsibilities of public office and they do not
like regulation of big business, such as those for auto, aviation, railroad
and pipeline safety. Trump selected Congressman Mike Pompeo to be the Director
of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). Pompeo is a cold war warrior who
believes in a militaristic, interventionist CIA, especially toward Iran, cook
up fake intelligence, thereby taking that agency even further away from its
original mission of gathering intelligence.
Secretary of Defense, ''Mad Dog'' Marine General James Matti believes Barack
Obama to be too weak, is an anti-Islamist, a believer in the American Empire
and the USA being the policeman for the world. Most of the nominees are
adamantly against raising the federal minim wage of $7.25 an hour and his
labor views are so extreme; who make no bones about her hatred of public
schools and her desire to have commercial managers of school systems; who are
big on police surveillance, weak on civil rights enforcement, a hard-liner on
immigration and very mixed on corporate crime… Another magnet for Trump's
nominations are those who made big donations to his campaign. For Linda
McMahon's $7 million to pro-Trump Super PACs, she gets to head the Small
Business Administration. As a highly controversial professional wrestling CEO,
she worked to monopolize the professional wrestling market and stifle
competition.
Though the Trump team makeup suggests an extra capitalist regime in the
making, some diplomatic appointments like the one for Israel also suggest
continuity of Zionist fanaticism and fascism in Mideast, if Trump really goes
ahead with what the Neocons and Zionists want against Palestine.
American exceptionalism
The doctrine of exceptionalism has traditionally led Americans to believe that
their country is leading the world. Exceptionalism has proven durable because
it can vindicate opposing foreign policies: it justified the United States'
political and military separation from the corrupt Old World before World War
II, and has lent legitimacy to US interventions thereafter. Even President
Barack Obama has proclaimed the USA to be ''exceptional'' more frequently than
any other US president.
Though explicitly rejects American exceptionalism as the first president to
take office, Trump vowed to build up the military, make friends with Russia,
go after Islamist terrorism, and counter Chinese aggression. American
exceptionalism is the belief that the United States stands in the vanguard of
history, chosen by providence to redeem mankind. ''We shall be as a city upon
a hill—the eyes of all people are upon us.'' . Yes that has been proven time
and again. US presidency poll that crowned Trump the winner, remains the most
important occurrence of the time.
Trump has exposed the fragility of the old consensus, and the best response is
not simply to try and restore it. American exceptionalism may be well
established, but voters want change in the system.
But Trump does not think USA is great. Trump depicted the United States in
speech after speech as a retrograde nation. ''We need somebody that can take
the brand of the United States and make it great again.'' ''We're like a Third
World country,'' he declared. It was once great, but the country would now
have to claw its way back, first to first world standards and then, perhaps,
to preeminence. In place of confident exceptionalism, Trump offered insecure
nationalism, recasting the United States as a global victim.
Trump pointed to the country's airports, citing them not only as examples of
crumbling national infrastructure, but also as places that elicit
international disdain. When travelers leave Dubai or China, he said, they land
at LaGuardia or LAX and see rubble: ''All over the world, they're laughing.''
Trump has inverted the exceptionalist dogma, repeated by both Obama and his
2012 challenger, Mitt Romney, that the United States is the ''envy of the
world.'' Trump, to be sure, assumes that the whole world is watching the
United States—not out of envy, but to mock it. Trump explained that he would
instead like to make America exceptional, by taking back what it had given to
the world. Trump is redefining exceptionalism.
Whereas previous presidents have taken it to be a permanent trait, and an
intrinsic part of American identity, the current president-elect views it as a
conditional state. A nation becomes ''exceptional'' by snatching up more
wealth and power than others.
Trump rejects American exceptionalism mainly because he thinks it paralyzes
the United States: it prevents the country from playing to win. Under the
rubric of Cold War exceptionalism, which cast the United States as the
defender of the free world, U.S. leaders rebuilt old enemies such as Germany
and Japan, lavished dollars and troops on allies, and set up multilateral
institutions to ensure broad-based prosperity.
The Democratic candidate Sanders during the primary campaign declared upon
announcing his presidential campaign that USA has become a dumping ground for
everybody else's problems. Trump just extended the idea further. Sanders
campaign represents an assault on American exceptionalism generally denoting
Americans' peculiar faith in God, flag, and free market. Trump supports all
three. Trump's supporters like the fact that he's super rich, blunt, and
hasn't spent his life in politics. But his pledges to keep the rest of the
world at bay are core to his appeal.
The so-called insiders within the Washington ruling class are the people who
got USA into trouble, Trumps said: what we are doing now isn't working. And
years ago, when I was just starting out in business, I figured out a pretty
simple approach that has always worked well for me: ''When you're digging
yourself deeper and deeper into a hole, stop digging.'' The state of the world
right now is a terrible mess. There has never been a more dangerous time.
Ignore career diplomats who insist on nuance. The career diplomats who got USA
into many foreign policy messes think that successful diplomacy requires years
of experience and an understanding of all the nuances that have been carefully
considered before reaching a conclusion. Trump wants to disprove them all.
In the 1980s, flying from place to place in his Trump helicopter and Trump
jet, he offered opinions on everything from politics to sex, and continually
declared himself to be superior in every way. He frequently referred to many
people who thought he should run for president and sometimes acted as if he
were a real candidate. During one especially tense Cold War moment, he even
offered himself to the world as a nuclear-arms-treaty negotiator.
Trump thinks as a man who can make high-end real estate deals he should be
able to bring the United States and the Soviet Union into agreement. He
offered himself as Cold War nuclear-arms-treaty negotiator. ''Pulling back
from Europe would save this country millions of dollars annually. The cost of
stationing NATO troops in Europe is enormous. And these are clearly funds that
can be put to better use.'' Would you want to end the NATO alliance
completely?
As for nations that host US military bases, Trump said he would charge those
governments for the American presence. ''I'm going to renegotiate some of our
military costs because we protect South Korea. We protect Germany. We protect
some of the wealthiest countries in the world, like Saudi Arabia. We protect
everybody and we don't get reimbursement. We lose on everything, so we're
going to negotiate and renegotiate trade deals, military deals, many other
deals that's going to get the cost down for running our country very
significantly.''
Trump then got into a specific example: Saudi Arabia, one of the more
important US allies (than Israel but USA uses Israel to get what it wants from
Saudi and other Arab nations) in the Middle East. Saudis ''make a billion
dollars a day. We protect them. So we need help. We are losing a tremendous
amount of money on a yearly basis and we owe $19 trillion,'' he said. Walking
back trade deals and agreements that allow the US military to operate overseas
is easier said than done. But Trump has tapped into a powerful anti-Washington
populist sentiment.
NATO economics
One of the major headlines in world media is Trump's intention of asking the
NATO nations to finance the organization instead of making USA to foot the
entire bill for maintenance. Trumps want every NATO member to pay for the US
shield. Currently only USA and Turkey make maximum contributions.
Economics of NATO funding by its 28 members is an issue that worries Trump and
many others in the West. Donald Trump said USA cannot spend on the security of
Europe. ''We are spending a fortune on a military in order to lose $800
billion,'' Trump said. ''I think NATO's great. But it's got to be modernized.
And countries that we're protecting have to pay what they're supposed to be
paying.'' In fact, it is a position that Trump has stated several times
before, saying he believes that the US is getting ''ripped off'' and that some
NATO members are getting an unfair ''free ride.''
As the Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, in a New York Times
interview, outlined a sharp break in US foreign policy tradition, suggesting
the US wouldn't defend NATO allies like the Baltic States against Russian
aggression if they haven't ''fulfilled their obligation to us.'' Trump seemed
to reject core assumptions of US military and foreign policy thinking —
including foreign troop deployment and advocating for civil liberties — and
argued for an unprecedented global retrenchment, frequently framing his
argument in economic terms. Trumps vice presidential choice, Mike Pence,
however, said that Trump would ''stand with our allies.'' ''We cannot have
four more years of apologizing to our enemies and abandoning our friends,''
Pence said. But Trump reiterated that suggested that the massive expense of
maintaining an international order that is contributing to trade losses for
the US ''doesn't sound very smart to me.'' He questioned the forward
deployment of American troops when answering a question about the tension in
the South China Sea. According to the Times interview, Trump explained that
''it will be a lot less expensive'' for the United States to deploy military
assets domestically. ''NATO now does need to redefine itself,'' he said
White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest said that the United States'
commitment to the mutual defense pact is ''ironclad.'' Hillary Clinton said
''For decades, the United States has given an ironclad guarantee to our NATO
allies: we will come to their defense if they are attacked, just as they came
to our defense after 9/11. Donald Trump was asked if he would honor that
guarantee. He said… maybe, maybe not.'' The former secretary of state
continued, ''Ronald Reagan would be ashamed. Harry Truman would be ashamed.
Republicans, Democrats and Independents who help build NATO into the most
successful military alliance in history would all come to the same conclusion:
Donald Trump is temperamentally unfit and fundamentally ill-prepared to be our
Commander in Chief.''
New spending data released recently show the US shells out far more money on
defense than any other nation on the planet. According to NATO statistics, the
US spent an estimated $650 billion on defense last year. That's more than
double the amount all the other 27 NATO countries spent between them, even
though their combined GDP tops that of the US.
NATO is based on the principle of collective defense: an attack against one or
several of its members is considered as an attack against all. So far that has
only been invoked once — in response to the September 11 hoax. To make the
principle work, all countries are expected to chip in. NATO's official
guidelines say member states should spend at least 2% of their gross domestic
product on defense.
Of the 28 countries in the alliance, only five — the USA, Greece, Poland,
Estonia and the UK — meet the target. Many European members — including big
economies like France and Germany — lag behind. Germany spent 1.19% of its GDP
on defense last year and France forked out 1.78%.
American military spending has always eclipsed other allies' budgets since
NATO's founding in 1949. But the gap grew much wider when the US beefed up its
spending after the 9/11 attacks. NATO admits it has an ''over-reliance'' on
the US for the provision of essential capabilities, including intelligence,
surveillance and reconnaissance, air-to-air refueling, ballistic missile
defense and airborne electronic warfare. The US also spends the highest
proportion of its GDP on defense: 3.61%. The second biggest NATO spender in
proportional terms is Greece, at 2.38%, according to NATO. Iceland, which
doesn't have its own army, spends just 0.1% of its GDP on defense, according
to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Five other
countries spend less than 1%, according to NATO's estimates for this year:
Canada, Slovenia, Belgium, Spain and Luxembourg.
All member countries that fall below the threshold committed in 2014 to
gradually ramp up military spending to reach the target within the next
decade. Additionally, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has also
called on other NATO members to spend more on defense.
One can't verify whether the United States is getting ''ripped off,'' but it's
clear that most NATO member countries are not spending what the alliance's
official guidelines require. Trump's statement may be true. The issue never
came up for public debate.
Trump's comments aimed at getting NATO allies to raise defense spending and do
more to fight terrorism could be beneficial. NATO could boost its force size,
and its ability to deploy forces.
Trump on Russia and China
Like his predecessors had done before, Trump seems to be interested in
extending cooperation and trade with both Russia and China and encourage
reforms in their internal policies and he is particularly positive about
Russia with which he has maintained bossiness. ''I don't understand why
American policymakers are always so timid in dealing with Russia on issues
that directly involve our survival. Kosovo was a perfect case in point: Russia
was holding out its hand for billions of dollars in IMF loans (to go along
with billions in aid the USA has given) the same week it was issuing threats
and warnings regarding our conduct in the Balkans. We need to tell Russia and
other recipients that if they want our dime they had better do our dance, at
least in matters regarding our national security.
These people need us much more than we need them. We have leverage, and we are
crazy not to use it to better advantage''. For USA the lack of human rights
prevents consumer development in China. ''Why am I concerned with political
rights? I'm a good businessman and I can be amazingly unsentimental when I
need to be. I also recognize that when it comes down to it, we can't do much
to change a nation's internal policies. But I'm unwilling to shrug off the
mistreatment of China's citizens by their own government. My reason is simple:
These oppressive policies make it clear that China's current government has
contempt for American way of life. We want to trade with China because of the
size of its consumer market. But if the regime continues to repress individual
freedoms, how many consumers will there really be? Isn't it inconsistent to
compromise our principles by negotiating trade with a country that may not
want and cannot afford our goods?
We have to make it absolutely clear that we're willing to trade with China,
but not to trade away our principles, and that under no circumstances will we
keep our markets open to countries that steal from us''.
Outgoing US President Barack Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping always
agreed that their nations' relationship was the most important in world
affairs.
President-elect Trump spent more time on the campaign trail talking about
China than anywhere else. Complaining that China is ''raping'' the United
States by its unfair trade practices, Trump has pledged to restore equity to
commercial ties. He has also hinted that he might take a fresh look at
Washington's ''one China policy,'' which acknowledges that Beijing claims
Taiwan, but leaves the island's precise status ambiguous.
Trump said America's biggest long-term challenge will be China. The Chinese
people still have few political rights to speak of. Chinese government
leaders, though they concede little, desperately want us to invest in their
country. Though we have the upper hand, we're way to eager to please. We see
them as a potential market and we curry favor with them at the expense of our
national interests. Our China policy under Presidents Clinton and Bush has
been aimed at changing the Chinese regime by incentives both economic and
political. The intention has been good, but it's clear that the Chinese have
been getting far too easy a ride. Despite the opportunity, I think we need to
take a much harder look at China. There are major problems that too many at
the highest reaches of business want to overlook, primarily the human-rights
situation.
Another potential flashpoint: the South China Sea, which Beijing claims almost
in its entirety – along with the islets, reefs, and shoals that dot its waters
– in defiance of an international legal ruling this year and of US policy. So
far, in its drive to build those reefs into military airstrips, China has
stayed below the threshold that might provoke a strong American reaction. But
a Trump dispensation could lower that threshold, and show less tolerance for
Chinese adventurism.
The Trump government would likely be very confrontational with China. not sure
if Americans really appreciate China's sensitivities or strength; Beijing
could do all sorts of things to make life difficult and painful for America.
The risk is that a general mood of confrontation between Beijing in Washington
could spawn an incident that could get out of hand. ''China is our enemy;
they're bilking us for billions'' by manipulating and devaluing its currency.
I've been criticized for calling them our enemy. But what else do you call the
people who are destroying your children's and grandchildren's future?
(Israelis are destroying Palestinians) What name would you prefer me to use
for the people who are hell bent on bankrupting our nation, stealing our jobs,
who spy on us to steal our technology, who are undermining our currency, and
who are ruining our way of life? To my mind, that's an enemy. Trump said
during the campaign: If we're going to make America number one again, we've
got to have a president who knows how to get tough with China, how to
out-negotiate the Chinese, and how to keep them from screwing us at every
turn''.
So, under Trump, ''it won't be business as usual,'' predicts Bonnie Glaser, a
China expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in
Washington. What kind of business it will be, it's probably too early to say.
But even before he has taken office, Trump's barrage of tweets and other
public comments suggest that he could be ready for a major overhaul of
Washington's China policy.
However, any even worst case scenario, as veto members deciding global issues
together with other 3 veto members, they would not come to blows in a military
clash, though many specialists do not rule out war, saying: ''That is not out
of the question.''
Middle East
USA has built up close tie s with Arab world even while providing a large
scale aim package to Israel as a regular free gift in terror goods and money.
Trump said and he must not take sides with Israel the ongoing conflict between
the Israelis and the Palestinians, so USA can lead negotiations. How can USA
neutral when it considers Israel to be America's closest ally in the Middle
East? Trump said ''Let me be sort of a neutral guy. I don't want to say whose
fault it is; I don't think it helps.''
Apparently, President Obama has treated Israel not so horribly as Israel
claims. I have very close ties to Israel. Israeli president had said I've
received the Tree of Life Award and many of the greatest awards given by
Israel. He thinks a Palestine and Israeli settlement is a real estate deal. As
president, however, there's nothing that I would rather do to bring peace to
Israel and its neighbors generally. And I think it serves no purpose to say
that you have a good guy and a bad guy''. It doesn't do any good to start
demeaning the neighbors, because I would love to do something with regard to
negotiating peace, finally, for Israel and for their neighbors.
Trump could negotiate a deal with Israel and Palestinians, directly. The
Palestinians are not a real estate deal, Donald. A deal is a deal. Let me tell
you that. I learned a long time ago. A deal is not a deal when you're dealing
with Zionist state terrorists. Have you ever negotiated with terrorists and
criminal Jews? Negotiators have not been able over the years to achieve a
credible deal through negotiation with Israel which is not willing for a peace
deal in Mideast as that would cripple its control over the region and economy
with western nations stopping aid packages. Israel wants the west to treat it
as a special category. . It's very important that we do that. The saddest
thing ever seen in ''talks'' is they never bring peace.
Trump said USA is going to have to hit hard to knock out ISIS. ''We're going
to have to learn who our allies are. We have allies, we have no idea who they
are in Syria. Do we want to stay that route, or do we want to go and make
something with Russia?''
If you look at the threats facing this country, the single gravest threat,
national security threat, is the threat of a nuclear Iran. That's why I've
pledged on day one to rip to shreds this Iranian nuclear deal. The Iran deal
is one of the worst deals I have ever seen negotiated in my entire life. It's
a disgrace that this country negotiated that deal. As far as Syria, if Putin
wants to go and knock the hell out of ISIS, I am all for it, 100%, and I can't
understand how anybody would be against it. They blew up a Russian airplane.
He cannot be in love with these people. He's going in, and we can go in, and
everybody should go in. As far as the Ukraine is concerned, we have a group of
people, and a group of countries, including Germany–why are we always doing
the work? I'm all for protecting Ukraine–but, we have countries that are
surrounding the Ukraine that aren't doing anything. They say, ''Keep going,
keep going, you dummies, keep going. Protect us.'' And we have to get smart.
We can't continue to be the policeman of the world.
We're going to open the gates to refugees from places like Syria, which is
like extending a personal invitation to ISIS members to come live here and try
to destroy our country from within. This is America today, the shining city on
a hill, which other countries used to admire and try to be like.
Russia's involvement in Syria reduced the economic burden on USA. Trump
welcomed Putin's involvement in Syria. Trump said USA is going to get bogged
down in Syria and if the Pentagon does not learn from Soviet experience in
Afghanistan when they went bankrupt, nothing can help Americans. Putin's also
going to get suckered into Syrian conflict. They're going to get bogged down.
Everybody that's touched the Middle East, they've gotten bogged down. Now,
Putin wants to go in and I like that Putin is bombing the hell out of ISIS.
Putin has to get rid of ISIS because Putin doesn't want ISIS coming into
Russia. We've spent now $2 trillion in Iraq, probably a trillion in
Afghanistan. We're destroying our country. Stop sending aid to countries that
hate us. More sanctions on Iran; I don't trust Putin but the truth is, it's
not a question of trust. I don't want to see the United States get bogged
down.
Trade issues
As for next year's outlook for world trade, the grease to globalization's
wheels, it is bleak. Some are calling it the end of globalization.
Trade among members of the Group of 20, the leading world economies, has been
pretty much stagnant this year. And now a wave of protectionist, anti-trade
sentiment is washing over the United States and Europe.
That seems to have put paid to plans for a Transatlantic Trade and Investment
Partnership (TTIP), a putative free-trade deal between the United States and
the European Union that has run into strong political headwinds in Europe.
The political climate, with elections due next year in Germany and France, has
put TTIP negotiations ''on a very long pause,'' says Caroline Freund, a trade
analyst at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a Washington
think tank.
And Trump's election as US president appears to have sounded the death knell
for the Trans Pacific Partnership, a free-trade agreement that had already
been agreed on by 12 Pacific rim countries, including the US but not China.
Trump, who has long disdained international trade deals that he says make it
easier to offshore US jobs to cheaper locations, has said he will tear up the
TPP.
He is also threatening to slap 45 percent tariffs on all Chinese exports to
the United States. This could be rhetoric, building up a position in advance
of negotiations with Beijing to make China open its market more to US goods
and investment.
''The most hopeful outlook is that this works,'' says Dr. Freund, ''and that
instead of a trade war we get some change in China that boosts world trade and
the US economy. But I do not think that is particularly likely.''
More probably, she forecasts, China would retaliate big time by canceling
orders for Boeing aircraft and buying European instead, or making life even
harder than it already is for US companies in China, or drying up the flow of
Chinese students who have been flocking to US colleges and filling their
coffers for the past decade.
Post-Cold War scenario reflected a switch from chess player to dealmaker in
international relations. A dealmaker can keep many balls in the air, weigh the
competing interests of other nations, and above all, constantly put America's
best interests first. The dealmaker knows when to be tough and when to back
off. He knows when to bluff and he knows when to threaten, understanding that
you threaten only when prepared to carry out the threat. The dealmaker is
cunning, secretive, focused, and never settles for less than he wants. It's
been a long time since America had a president like that.
Trump said in the modern world you can't very easily draw up a simple, general
foreign policy. ''I was busy making deals during the last decade of the cold
war. Now the game has changed. The day of the chess player is over. Foreign
policy has to be put in the hands of a dealmaker''. In the past, two
dealmakers have served as president-one was Franklin Roosevelt, who got
Americans through WWII, and the other was Richard Nixon, who forced the
Russians to the bargaining table to achieve the first meaningful reductions in
nuclear arms.
Domestic policy
The Republican said in March that abortions should be illegal and he supported
''some form of punishment'' for women who had them. His campaign quickly
backed down from that statement, however, and asserted that the candidate
believed the legality of the procedure should be left up to individual states,
with any criminal penalties being reserved for abortion providers.
He has said he supports an abortion ban exception for ''rape, incest and the
life of the mother''. He has called for defunding Planned Parenthood. As
recently as 2000, Mr Trump supported abortion rights but has said that, like
Ronald Reagan, he changed his views on the matter.
Obamacare is one of the outgoing president's signature policies – and Trump
has vowed to repeal it. His alternative would give individual states greater
control over their health plans, and allow more competition across state
lines. With Republicans in command of Congress, revoking Obamacare seems a
real possibility. But they could face a backlash from the millions of
Americans losing coverage.
Violence and lawlessness is out of control in the US, according to Mr Trump.
He says law enforcement agencies are unable to fight crime because of runaway
''political correctness'' and says they should be allowed to get tough on
offenders. He says police profiling is necessary to prevent terrorist attacks
on US soil. He supports ''stop and frisk'', claiming the policy was highly
successful in New York, even though many experts disagree. The practice was
ruled unconstitutional and a form of ''indirect racial profiling'' by a
federal judge in the city.
Rejecting Republican orthodoxy, Trump has called for six weeks of paid
maternity leave, which would amount to what the mother would receive in
unemployment benefit. But this would not apply to fathers. There are no
details though on how this policy would be paid for.
Trump has blamed some shootings on lax gun laws, saying armed people could
have intervened and saved lives. He frequently accused rival Hillary Clinton
of wanting to eliminate gun rights during the campaign and promises his
supporters that the Second Amendment would be safe.
One of the most important decisions for the next president is shaping the
future of the Supreme Court. There is currently one vacancy, but with several
justices of retirement age, Trump could have more than one appointment to
make, shifting the court to the right for years to come.
Foreign policy
Trump has said that the USA is mishandling current Iran negotiations and
should have walked away from the table once Tehran reportedly rejected the
idea of sending enriched uranium to Russia. Walk away from nuclear talks.
Increase sanctions. Trump wants to increase sanctions on Iran but add more
terror goods to Israel to threaten Palestinians and other regional Arabs.
Trump has been sharply critical of the Obama's handling of relations with
Israel and has called for a closer alliance with fanatic Israeli PM Netanyahu.
I've been all over the world. I've dealt with foreign countries. I've done
tremendously well dealing with China and with many of the countries that are
just ripping this country. I would have a good relationship with Putin. Take a
look at what happened with their fighter jets circling one of our aircraft in
a very dangerous manner. Somebody said less than 10 feet away. This is
hostility. Russia wants to defeat ISIS as badly as we do. If we had a
relationship with Russia, wouldn't it be wonderful if we could knock the hell
out of ISIS?
Putin called Trump a brilliant leader. When he calls me brilliant, I'll take
the compliment. The fact is, look, I'm a negotiator. We're going to take back
our country.
Donald Trump says he supports President Barack Obama's decision to reengage
diplomatically with Cuba. ''50 years is enough,'' Trump said, referring to
Obama's decision to re-establish U.S. ties with Cuba. ''The concept of opening
with Cuba is fine.'' Trump joins libertarian-leaning Sen. Rand Paul as the
only Republican running for president to express his support for normalizing
relations with Cuba. The rest of the GOP field has slammed Obama's decision to
reopen the U.S. embassy in Havana and engage diplomatically with the
government of Cuba.
By 2027, tsunami as China overtakes USA as largest economy. There is a lot
that Obama and his globalist pals don't want you to know about China's
strength. It's been predicted that by 2027, China will overtake the United
States as the world's biggest economy–much sooner if the Obama economy's
disastrous trends continue. That means in a handful of years, America will be
engulfed by the economic tsunami that is the People's Republic of China–my
guess is by 2016 if we don't act fast. For the past thirty years, China's
economy has grown an average 9 to 10 percent each year. In the first quarter
of 2011 alone, China's economy grew a robust 9.7 percent. America's first
quarter growth rate is an embarrassing and humiliating 1.9 percent. It's a
national disgrace.
Trump has criticised the Iraq War (although his claims that he opposed it from
the start are unfounded) and other US military action in the Middle East. He
has called for closer relations with Vladimir Putin's Russia and says the US
must make allies in Europe and Asia shoulder a greater share of the expense
for their national defence and emphasizes that US foreign policy must always
prioritize American interests.
On the other hand, Trump has also taken a hard-line stance toward combating IS
and has even at times asserted the US should commit tens of thousands of
ground troops to the fight. He says Nato should do more to combat terrorism in
the Middle East, maintaining that the US foots too much of the bill for the
Alliance and that other allies should spend more on their own protection.
Once upon a time, Republicans were the party of unfettered free trade. Donald
Trump has changed all that. While he says he is not opposed to trade in
principle, any trade deals have to protect US industry. He is firmly against
the Trans-Pacific Partnership and has said that he will re-open negotiations
on already signed pacts, such as the North America Free Trade Agreement (Nafta),
and withdraw if US demands are not met. He has accused US trading partners
like Mexico and China of unfair trade practices, currency manipulation and
intellectual property theft, threatening to unilaterally impose tariffs and
other punitive measures if they do not implement reforms.
Trump has issued no position statements on environmental issues on his
website. In speeches and debates, however, he has said he opposes what he
views as economically damaging environmental regulations backed by ''political
activists with extreme agendas''. He says he supports clean water and air, but
wants to slash funding to the Environmental Protection Agency. He has also
called man-made climate change ''a hoax'' and said he would ''cancel'' the
Paris Agreement and other international efforts to address the issue.
Trump wants to create restrictions on lobbyists, by first defining who is a
''lobbyist''. Currently, anyone spending less than 20% of their time engaged
in lobbying can call themselves an ''adviser'' or ''consultant''. Trump says
this is a loophole that must be closed. Trump proposes there be a five-year
ban preventing government officials who have recently departed the government
from immediately joining lobbying firms. He also wants a lifetime lobbying ban
on any former administration officials who have previously worked on behalf of
foreign governments. He has called on Congress to change campaign finance laws
to stop anyone who lobbies for foreign governments from raising funds for US
elections. He has claimed to be ''self-funding'' his campaign, but has also
employed a former hedge fund manager to solicit campaign funds from
deep-pocket donors.
This is his signature issue. Despite critics who call it unaffordable and
unrealistic, the Republican has stood by his call to build an impenetrable
wall along the 2,000-plus-mile US-Mexico border. He has also called for
reductions in legal immigration, ending President Barack Obama's executive
actions deferring deportation proceedings for undocumented migrants, and more
stringent efforts to reduce the number of these migrants living in the US. The
candidate has backed away from earlier calls for the forced deportation of the
more than 11 million undocumented migrants living on US soil and temporarily
closing the US border to all Muslims – but not dropped them.
Trump has been warning that the US policy of admitting refugees from certain
regions – the Middle East or, more generally, Muslim nations – presents a
serious threat to US national security. He has attempted to bolster his case
by citing often debunked internet rumours, such as the Syrian refugees are
largely young, single men. He has called for the US to suspend resettling
refugees until ''extreme vetting'' procedures can be implemented, including
ideological tests to screen out extremists. He asserts that nations in the
Middle East – which have already received millions of Syrian and Iraqi
refugees – must do more to create safe zones for those fleeing the violence.
Provide economic assistance to create a safe zone in Syria. I love a safe zone
for people. I do not like the migration. I do not like the people coming.
Trump would help them economically, even though we owe $19 trillion. US should
not train rebels it does not know or control. The Russians are hitting Assad
as well as people we've trained. Where they're hitting people, we're talking
about people that we don't even know. I was talking to a general two days ago.
He said, ''We have no idea who these people are. We're training people. We
don't know who they are. We're giving them billions of dollars to fight Assad.''
I'm not saying Assad's a good guy, because he's probably a bad guy. But I've
watched him interviewed many times. And you can make the case, if you look at
Libya, look at what we did there– it's a mess– if you look at Saddam Hussein
with Iraq, look what we did there– it's a mess– it's going be same thing.
Better to have Mideast strongmen than Mideast chaos. The Middle East would be
better today if Gaddafi, Saddam and Assad were stronger? That the Middle East
would be safer? Iraq is a disaster. And ISIS came out of Iraq.
If Saddam and Gaddafi were still in power, things would be more stable, of
course it would be. You wouldn't have had your Benghazi situation, which is
one thing, which was just a terrible situation.
Nuclear policy
At the Nuclear Security Summit, the president was asked for his reaction to
Trump's suggestion that US allies Japan and South Korea manufacture their own
nuclear weapons as a defense against North Korean aggression. Obama said the
comments ''tell us the person who made the statements doesn't know much about
nuclear policy, or the Korean Peninsula or the world generally.'' White House
aides pointed out that Trump's policy would reverse decades of bipartisan US
foreign policy and would increase nuclear proliferation.
Trump has argued that allowing Japan and South Korea to get the weapons would
relieve the US of defending their East Asia allies. Foreign leaders from both
countries have dismissed the idea. ''You have so many countries already–China,
Pakistan, you have so many countries, Russia–you have so many countries right
now that have them,'' Trump said during a CNN town hall. ''Now, wouldn't you
rather, in a certain sense, have Japan have nuclear weapons when North Korea
has nuclear weapons?''
Trump was asked how he would respond to North Korea's nuclear threat. ''I
would get China to make that guy disappear in one form or another very
quickly,'' Trump said. He didn't clarify whether disappearing was equivalent
to being assassinated but said ''I mean, this guy's a bad dude, and don't
underestimate him,'' Trump said, referring to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
''Any young guy who can take over from his father with all those generals and
everybody else that probably want the position, this is not somebody to be
underestimated.'' Trump maintained that China has control over North Korea and
the US has control over China. They don't say it, but they do,'' Trump
explained. ''And they should make that problem disappear. China is sucking us
dry. They're taking our money. They're taking our jobs. We have rebuilt China
with what they've taken out.''Without China, North Korea doesn't even eat.
China is ripping us on trade. They're devaluing their currency and they're
killing our companies. We've lost between four and seven million jobs because
of China. ''we have very unfair trade with China. We're going to have a trade
deficit of 505 billion dollars this year with China. I would start taxing
goods that come in from China.
Trumps said diplomacy and respect crucial to any relationship with Russia.
I've been saying relationship is so important in business, that it's so
important in deals, and so important in the country. And if President Obama
got along with Putin, that would be a fabulous thing. But they do not get
along. Putin does not respect our president. And I'm sure that our president
does not like him very much.
With regards to the Iranian nuclear deal: Nobody ever mentions North Korea
where you have this maniac sitting there and he actually has nuclear weapons
and somebody better start thinking about North Korea and perhaps a couple of
other places.
Trump and Obama: Shared policy
priorities
Although the Obama government has not used the same slogan, it has adopted an
America First strategy. Vice President Joe toured Asia in July 2016 as part of
the administration's ''rebalance'' to Asia. ''We're not doing anyone any
favors,'' Biden stated, referring to the administration's special focus on the
region. ''It's overwhelmingly in our interest. ''We don't work with other
nations as a luxury, or as charity,'' Blinken explained.
Apparently, Trump and the Obama have always shared many of the same foreign
policy objectives, they intend to ensure that the USA remains the most
dominant military power in the world, even though Trump made every effort
during his campaign to condemn Obama's policies as dangerous and destructive
to both the United States and the world. Both Trump and Obama have also made
it clear that they intend to completely destroy the Islamic State (ISIS or
IS). In November 2015, Trump outlined his position during a radio commercial
in which he pledged to ''quickly and decisively bomb the hell out of ISIS.''
In March 2016, Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter presented the basic position
of the Obama government saying that the Department of Defense ''will keep
ensuring our dominance in all domains.'' The following month, Trump declared
his support for the same objective. ''Our military dominance must be
unquestioned,'' Trump stated.
Furthermore, Trump has displayed similar commitments on other fundamental
issues. Trump has made it clear that he intends to prioritize the interests of
the United States above everything else. ''America First will be the major and
overriding theme of my administration,'' Trump announced during his campaign.
Indeed, Trump insisted that he would base his foreign policy on the premise
that the United States should only take actions in the world that work to the
advantage of the United States. ''We're going to finally have a coherent
foreign policy based upon American interests, and the shared interests of our
allies,'' Trump stated.
President Obama has confirmed that he adopted an America First strategy. When
he recently commented on his decision to commit the United States to the Paris
Agreement in order to address the threat of global climate change, Obama
confirmed that he was primarily motivated by the US interests at stake.
Currently, Obama said, ''the biggest threat when it comes to climate change
and pollution is going to come from China with over a billion people and India
with over a billion people.'' With his remarks, Obama indicated that the USA
needed to join the Paris Agreement to prevent countries such as China and
India from harming the United States with their pollution.
In fact, the Obama government has been busy working to fulfill its mission. In
the time since USA began its air campaign in August 2014, USA and coalition
forces have conducted more than 15,000 airstrikes against IS and have killed
more than 45,000 ISIS fighters. In other words, the administration has been
bombing the hell out of ISIS.
Observations: Inexperience a
plus point or mystery?
Humanity should be happy with US voters for defeating a dangerously positioned
Democratic party, pursuing the aggressive Republican policies as its own,
under first ever Black President Obama who is leaving behind a failed foreign
policy, very arrogantly, terrorizing Arab world with his drone threats. That
is indeed unlike the core principles of Democratic Party. Republican Donald
Trump emerged victorious by defeating the formidable Hillary Clinton because
Americans are fed up with Democratic regime and Hillary Clinton's Zionist
approach in Mideast.
Obviously, Trump is new phenomenon in US politics as well as world scene in
recent times. Earlier, before the World War two, Germany and Italy saw fascist
political tendencies tasking roots in national scene and wining the polls and
initiating fascist rule. The international experience in fascist trends warns
American people who, in order to get rid of Democratic party using Republican
war policies, had to vote the Republican Ronald Trump with contractor views on
several issues, reminding the world of return of fascism in US poll politics,
to power.
Evolution of Trump as a politician is indeed remarkable. Trump's campaign
rhetoric was essentially of a hawkish nature meant to gain votes from American
voters who wanted a strong president but after winning the presidency,
however, Trump has revised his statements on foreign policy of USA.
Since the signing of the Paris Agreement a year ago, addressing climate change
has remained a major imperative for most of the world's nations. Enough
countries quickly ratified the accord so that it entered into force early, in
November. Most countries also signed on to two other agreements this fall: one
to reduce potent greenhouse gases used in refrigeration and another to cap
emissions for the aviation industry. President-elect Donald Trump may dismiss
the Paris Agreement on Climate but the world that takes the climate crisis. On
January 20 the new US President Donald Trump enters a complex web of
diplomatic relations, where issues like trade, finance, migration, security,
poverty, food aid and disaster relief are all intertwined and all have
important links to the climate agenda. It's a world already dealing with
significant climate impacts and sold on climate action.
As the new global leader Trump has to devise his productive polices to promote
healthy international order and revise his own misunderstanding on climate
change and help the world check and correct climatic disorder. Saying things
for votes is one thing in today's world of anti-Islamism, and Islamophobia and
terror wars, but sticking to them could spell disaster to USA and Trump's
chances for second term.
The same is true of Palestine issue as well. His intentions to mend ways with
rival Russia would cut Israeli fanaticism to size in a big way and make the ME
region and even world over tension free.
Ultimately, the Trump presidency is a grand experiment – the election of a
larger-than-life character with a big megaphone and big promises but no
experience in government. From beginning to end, it will be a presidency
without precedent. Any steps that called current American policy into question
''would risk a major confrontation with China,'' warns Ms. Glaser. ''Beijing
is not ready to re-negotiate agreements … that they see as the bedrock of
US-China relations.''
As Trump has put it, using the standard language of the foreign policy
establishment, his government will mainly be ''focusing on creating stability
in the world.'' President Trump would use the essentially anti-Islamic media
to sugarcoat, falsify, distract, intimidate, glorify and massify the millions
of people who believed, once upon a recent time, that he would ''Make America
Great Again.''
It is one thing for Trump to break the mold as a candidate or as
president-elect, but quite another as leader of the free world. The questions
are nearly endless, ranging from the seemingly stylistic to matters of
profound global consequence. Is he really ready to risk a trade war with
China? With a pro-nuke US president, is the world indeed heading for a new
arms race?
Trump's situation is unprecedented – the wealthiest person ever to win the
presidency, with a global business empire that's virtually impossible to
separate from his dealings as president, at least anytime soon. Trump's
business interests – and those of his children – are another matter, raising
serious questions about conflicts of interest and what he must do under the
Constitution.
Despite the president-elect's own political history, at various times
identifying as a Democrat, an independent, and a Republican, and to this day,
holding some socially liberal views, such as on gender issues, one doubts if
Trump could land USA in greater troubles. .
As the first ever Presidential candidate without political experience the
showman billionaire Donald Trump had experience neither in state governance
nor in foreign policy matters and as such he made statements during the
campaign depending on the circumstances knowing that arrogance and aggressive
rhetoric would fetch m him more votes that his rival experienced politicians
Hillary Clinton. Now after his election, Trump makes statements without any
serious thoughts, as usual.
In the end, the outgoing Obama will soon hand over power to a Trump team that
shares some of the very same foreign policy commitments. Despite the fact that
the foreign policy establishment remains uncertain about Trump's intentions,
the president-elect has provided many signals that he intends for the United
States to continue playing an active role in enforcing a system of global
order.
Future of Trump's foreign policy still remains a mystery as the President
elect has given out a conflicting signals to the world with his approximant of
a pro-Russia American as his foreign minister while appointment of a hard core
Zionist as US ambassador to Israel. While in the first case USA is eager to
mend ties with Russia, in the second appoint, a further deterioration of
Mideast crisis and more problems for the Palestinians even after a Palestine
state is established. It is quite likely, in appointing a Zionist American as
US diplomat in Tel Aviv, Trump wants to assure the criminal state of Israel
the continued military and economic support to Israel, provided Israel agrees
and extends full support for the creation of much delayed Palestine state.
Will President Trump let history define Trumpism a terrible disaster the
humanity had to endure – worse than Zionism? First, he mist shift his focus
from business to people in order to devise polices for the people.
After all, Americans have not elected to White House a nonsensical man! By
failing to live up to American expectations, Trump in fact defeats American
overs. Hopefully, he won't do that.
That the president elect has ruled out promoting democracy abroad signals a
departure from the US policy of invasions for regime change especially in
energy rich Arab nations but however, Israel is left free to promote its own
fascist ideology and regime making Palestinians and other Arabs worried about
the future of their children in Mideast if Israel continues to dictate its
terms to them. US policy for Israel and Mideast would determine if Trump would
be different President. Anti-invasion position of Trump could spell a good
start for the USA.
January 20 is not far away; nor does Trump's presidential action. Hopefully
President Trump won't pursue an erratic foreign policy to give chance for
Madam Clinton camp to celebrate victory!
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